Friday, 14 December, 2018

OH 12th Congressional District Special Election Results Show Close Race

Crystal ball time Where are we headed politically Getty Images
Ray Hunter | 08 August, 2018, 10:57

In a swing State that Mr. Trump won by eight points in 2016, Mr. Balderson's 10-point lead from June has evaporated.

The 31-year-old Democrat and 56-year-old Balderson exchanged leads as the votes rolled in, with the Republican ahead by about 1,700 votes with all precincts reporting.

And in an election morning tweet, Mr Trump said Balderson would make a "great congressman".

But, as was the case in Pennsylvania, outside spending by Republican groups dwarfed the Democrats. Strong on Crime, Border & Military.

Democrats had hoped a victory by O'Connor in the district that has been represented by a Republican for more than three decades would signal a coming Blue Wave in November.

Midterm elections will have higher turnout and could have slightly different electorates than these special election contests, and Democrats will need to win at least a few seats like this one if they're going to get to a House majority in November.

In Kansas, Kris Kobach, a conservative leader in the movement to restrict illegal immigration and pass more restrictive voting laws, narrowly led Governor Jeff Colyer with about 84 percent of the votes counted for the Republican gubernatorial nomination.

If Balderson's lead holds, his narrow victory in a seat President Donald Trump carried by an 11-point margin in 2016 would still a bad sign for the GOP, which will have to defend far more competitive seats than this one in the November midterms. Recent polling has the race in a statistical tie.

Ohio's Republican Gov. John Kasich said the race shouldn't even be close, but it is.

Mendocino Complex day 11: River Fire nearly contained, Ranch Fire continues growth
The fire has now spread to more than 163,000 acres and is only 45 percent contained, according to the department. The fire was started two weeks ago by sparks from a steel wheel of a towed-trailer's flat tire.

Republican Troy Balderson led Democrat Danny O'Connor by about 1,700 votes with all precincts reporting, although the OH secretary of state's office said a final result would be delayed until more than 8,000 provisional and absentee ballots were counted.

Should the polarizing Kobach win the primary, some Republican operatives fear he could lose the governor's seat to Democrats this fall.

At times, the race centred on Trump's tax cuts as much as the candidates.

The pro-Balderson effort has focused largely on motivating Republican voters by casting O'Connor as extreme.

O'Connor and his Democratic allies railed against the tax plan, casting it as a giveaway for the rich that exacerbates federal deficits and threatens Medicare and Social Security. The field included Fayrouz Saad, who would be the first Muslim woman in Congress.

And in suburban Seattle, three Democrats are vying in a jungle primary for the seat held by another retiring Republican, Rep. Dave Reichert.

The CLF closed with an ad from Ohio Gov. John Kasich (R) strongly endorsing the candidate, a move that may have helped shore him up just enough in the more upscale, country club Republican parts of the district (Kasich, a frequent Trump antagonist, plays much better in those parts of the state).

But the Ocasio-Cortez and Bernie Sanders-backed Abdul El-Sayed's bid for MI governor fell short, CNN projects, as the establishment favorite, former state Senate Minority Leader Gretchen Whitmer, nabbed the Democratic nomination and a November date with Republican Attorney General Bill Schuette. He'd join Sen. Tim Scott as the only black Republican senators if he did.

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